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Experts expect RBI to raise rates by 0.25% in October policy

5 October 2026 · ⏱ 2 മിനിറ്റ് · GS3 Economy: Monetary policy

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വാർത്തയിൽ എന്തുകൊണ്ട്?

Who sets India's repo rate? The six-member MPC structure GS3 Economy keeps testing

Inflation and crude prices push expectations of a rate hike.

Why it matters: asked in UPSC 2022; factual, Prelims-type

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What you need to know

2 മിനിറ്റ്

An experts' poll expects the Reserve Bank of India to raise its policy rate by 0.25 percentage points at the October policy meeting, citing inflationary pressures, crude oil prices and global interest rates.

The rate is decided by the six-member Monetary Policy Committee, with Governor Sanjay Malhotra as chair.

ഉറവിടങ്ങൾ: Topper IAS editorial (PIB / The Hindu / Indian Express)

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പ്രധാന വസ്തുതകൾ

Remember these

  • An experts' poll expects the RBI to raise its policy rate by 0.25 percentage points at the October policy meeting
  • Drivers cited: inflationary pressures, crude oil prices and global interest rates
  • The policy rate is decided by the six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
  • Governor Sanjay Malhotra chairs the MPC
  • The MPC was given statutory status under the RBI Act, 1934 (amended in 2016); the Governor has a casting vote only in a tie
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പ്രിലിംസ് · മെയിൻസ്

How the exam will ask it

പ്രിലിംസ്

  • The Monetary Policy Committee has six members: three from the RBI (including the Governor as chair) and three external members appointed by the Central Government.
  • The MPC decides the policy repo rate, the rate at which the RBI lends short-term funds to banks, to meet the inflation target.
  • Higher crude oil prices push up imported inflation, which can lead the central bank to raise the repo rate.

മെയിൻസ്

GS3 Economy: Monetary policy. Imported inflation from crude oil and tighter global rates strain price stability, and the MPC under the RBI Act, 1934 responds by adjusting the repo rate within the flexible inflation-targeting framework. A hike curbs inflation but can slow credit and growth, so the way forward is calibrated tightening, supply-side measures on food and fuel, and clear communication.

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PYQ connection

A question UPSC has already asked on this

🔁 UPSC PYQ CONNECTION · UPSC CSE 2022

With reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements:

  1. If the inflation is too high Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to buy government securities.
  2. If the rupee is rapidly depreciating RBI is likely to sell dollars in the market.
  3. If interest rates in the USA or European Union were to fall that is likely to induce RBI to buy dollars.

Which of the statements given above are correct?

  1. 1 and 2 only
  2. 2 and 3 only
  3. 1 and 3 only
  4. 1, 2 and 3
ഉത്തരം കാണിക്കൂ

ഉത്തരം: B

Why this matters: today's issue is directly connected to a concept UPSC has already tested. Read the story with this question in mind.

Practise this PYQ →
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Quick recall

Answer before you reveal

The Monetary Policy Committee that decides India's policy repo rate under the RBI Act, 1934 has how many members?

  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 7
  4. 6
ഉത്തരം കാണിക്കൂ

ഉത്തരം: D — Correct: 6 — The committee has six members: the Governor, a Deputy Governor, one more RBI officer and three external members appointed by the Centre. • 5 — wrong: Five is not the strength of the committee; the Act provides for a six-member body. • 8 — wrong: Eight is too many; the Act provides for six members, three from the RBI and three external members. • 7 — wrong: Seven is not the strength; the Act provides for six members, with the Governor having a casting vote only in a tie.

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